Caucasus Reality 12 august — 12:33

After Pashinyan's provocation Patrushev going to Yerevan

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BY FARHAD MAMMADOV, INFORMATION SECTION

Today, on 12 August, Russian Security Council Secretary Nikolai Patrushev will pay a visit to Yerevan. Although Patrushev's visit was planned in advance, it coincided in time with the latest adventurous statements of the Prime Minister of Armenia, Nikol Pashinyan in Karabakh. Recall that the public appeals of the Armenian prime minister at a rally in Khankendi about the need for the annexation of Nagorno-Karabakh to Armenia caused new political and diplomatic tension in the region.

Pashinyan's scandalous speech in Khankendi

The Foreign Brief Centre, operating at the National University of Australia and specialising in the study of international geopolitical risks, emphasises the importance of Patrushev's visit to Yerevan.

A published analytical article by Foreign Brief states that Armenia is heavily dependent on arms supplies from Russia and is Moscow's only ally in the South Caucasus.

'Russia's only military base in the region is located in Armenia, and this country is a member of the Collective Security Treaty Organisation. However, in Russia they are very cautious towards Nikol Pashinyan after the colour revolution of April 2018,' the Centre's analysts recall.

Foreign Brief notes that the visit of Nikol Pashinyan to Nagorno-Karabakh on 5 August and his statement about Armenian sovereignty over the region led to increased tension.

'Nikol Pashinyan's provocative step has led to increased tension and could serve as the beginning of a new war. To prepare for new hostilities, he may ask Russia for even more weapons. However, no matter how important Armenia is for Russia, this does not prevent it from selling weapons to Azerbaijan. Whether the improvement of Pashinyan's relations with Moscow leads to Armenia gaining an advantage in the supply of Russian weapons will become known after Vladimir Putin's visit to Yerevan, which is scheduled for October,' Foreign Brief notes.

Nikolai Patrushev

According to Armenian media, the visit of the secretary of the Security Council of Russia will last two days. And according to the press-service of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, Nikolai Patrushev will hold consultations on security issues in Yerevan with the participation of the apparatus of the security councils and representatives of several departments of Russia and Armenia.

It should be noted that no matter how cold Russia's attitude towards Nikol Pashinyan was after he came to power, Moscow sold several new types of weapons to Yerevan at discounted prices, including SU-30 SM fighter jets. In addition, answering journalists' questions, Armenian Defence Minister David Tonoyan stated that there will be 'new surprises' on the issue of arms supplies.

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