Our Analytics 30 may — 11:37

Pashinyan wants NATO+OSCE MG on the border. What should Azerbaijan do? (Editorial)



The border crisis between Azerbaijan and Armenia, caused by the treacherous sortie of the Armenian sabotage group in the direction of the Kalbajar region, reached its climax. Military escalation and political aggravation are at the centre of attention of the world community. In the midst of new recriminations, Armenian Prime Minister Nikol Pashinyan came up with a package of proposals to resolve the border dispute.

Pashinyan presented his package to the United States and France

The head of the Armenian government offered the West to place international observers from the United States and France along with the Russian border guards. In addition, in his appeal to official Baku, Pashinyan proposed to return the units of the Azerbaijani border troops to their original positions on the border section of Sotk-Kalbajar and Khoznavar.

The Armenian government also undertakes an obligation, according to Pashinyan's proposal, to withdraw the Armenian armed forces to their original positions. That is, we are talking about a mirror withdrawal of troops.

The co-chairs of the OSCE Minsk Group, primarily the governments of the United States and France, as if in unison, instantly reacted to Nikol Pashinyan's initiative. The sensitivity and attention of the Western co-chairs to Pashinyan's appeals is admirable. After all, in our memory, cold severity, glassy composure to the problems of Azerbaijan and the demonstrative alienation of the same countries from the suffering of Azerbaijanis during the 30-year Karabakh drama is well preserved. Be that as it may, those gathered in Geneva meticulously and with concern discussed the package proposal of the Armenian prime minister. And they immediately called on the personal representative of the OSCE Chairman-in-Office Andrzej Kasprzyk. The Minsk Group co-chairs, in unison with Pashinyan, came out with a consolidated position, suggesting that Azerbaijan and Armenia withdraw troops from the un-demarked border and begin negotiations on the delimitation of the border.

Instant reaction of two co-chairs - two NATO countries

What should Azerbaijan do in these conditions, especially after the appeal of the co-chairs?

After the end of hostilities and the signing of the Trilateral Statement, Azerbaijan, along with Russian President Vladimir Putin, considers the conflict with Armenia to be over. Both Azerbaijan and Russia, the guarantor of compliance with the Trilateral Statement, insist on the unconditional implementation of the peace agreement. Just a few hours ago, from the speech of Prime Minister Ali Asadov at a meeting of the CIS heads of government, it became known that at Russia's initiative it was envisaged to create a trilateral commission on border delimitation. However, it was Armenia that objected, obstructed and in every possible way delayed the creation and activity of this commission.

So, Azerbaijan can consider Pashinyan's proposals, but there is one big 'but'. Armenia insists on the deployment of observers from the United States and France on the border. In fact, we are talking about the deployment of a military mission of NATO countries in the area where the Russian border troops are located.

If NATO comes, what will become of the format of Three?

But how does this correlate with the state interests of Russia and the military-allied relations with the CSTO assumed by Armenia? Pashinyan's proposals do not fit into the head, since they grossly violate the requirements of the CSTO Charter. In fact, Pashinyan reveals the true intentions of his patrons, who are pursuing the only geopolitical goal - not only to push back, but finally to expel Russia from the region. Does the Kremlin need enemies after that, if it has such friends, partners and allies? Pashinyan crossed the last edge of the red line, calling NATO to the region.

But there is another NATO country. In addition, a member of the OSCE Minsk Group

If Armenia is ready to withdraw its troops and start negotiations, then Azerbaijan can consider the issue of redeployment. Troops are withdrawn, a NATO contingent is brought in, and a delimitation commission begins its work. Only in this case, Azerbaijan reserves the right to call observers from another NATO country - Turkey. To top it all off, Turkey is also a member of the OSCE Minsk Group.

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