Our Analytics 12 october — 15:13

USA and Iran went against Azerbaijan as united front? Conspiracy theory or pattern? (Notes on the margins)



Tehran cites the alleged Israeli presence in Azerbaijan, which it is trying to prevent, as the reason for the surge in Iran's aggressive policy towards Baku. But a strange thing is that the notorious Iranian 'struggle against the Azerbaijani-Israeli alliance' almost to the smallest detail coincides with the US position on the South Caucasus.

The louder the drums of war rumble in Iran and the more statements are made about this, the stronger the conviction that we are facing an unnatural alliance between Tehran and Washington, in a united formation opposing geopolitical changes in the South Caucasus.

Ambassador Tracy against the backdrop of the Zangezur Mountains

And sometimes it is difficult to distinguish where the official Tehran speaks through the mouth of Abdollahian and where the US Ambassador to Armenia Lynnу Tracy does voicing the official position of the American State Department. Is this possible? Isn't it a conspiracy theory to believe that Iran and Washington are acting jointly on this issue? It is quite possible that the unprecedented happens, as in this case -- two antagonists, whose struggle is being watched by the whole world, act as a united front against the strategic project of Baku, Ankara and Moscow -- the Zangezur Corridor.

I don't think that Tehran experienced any remorse when they entered into secret agreements with the Americans in terms of a joint position on the South Caucasus. Too many interests of Iran and the United States coincide in one point.

At the same time as Tracy, the Iranian Ambassador Zohouri approached Zangezur

On the one hand, there is Armenia, which is at the same time pro-American oriented and a strategic partner of Iran, enjoying its constant support. On the other hand, after the 44-day war, Washington and Tehran ended up in the same camp -- the losers. Since they were excluded from the process of geopolitical transformations, they lost most of their influence in the South Caucasus.

With absolutely tacit consent and even support from Washington, the pro-American regime in Yerevan is strengthening the ties of allied relations with Tehran and its sanctioned economy.

As with the tacit observation of Washington, selected Iranian military units of the sanctioned IRGC are rattling their weapons on the border of Azerbaijan.

One remembers well Lavrov's displeased remark in the presence of Abdollahian about the Iranian army's exercises. Like, we know with whom you correlate your strategy.

And what about the synchronous and harmonious statements of the US and Iranian ambassadors in Yerevan, their almost joint voyages to the Zangezur corridor? Quite a strange coincidence of the positions of the two antagonistic geopolitical poles! Please agree that this does not happen!

There are quite sufficient grounds for the two sides to conclude a temporary alliance in the struggle to preserve the only remaining point of influence in the region for both the United States and Iran -- Armenia. Alliances were concluded on lesser occasions without regard for contradictions. And there is much more at stake here.

It is not so important whether this agreement was formalised in writing or orally. More fundamentally here is another thing -- the temporary alliance between the United States and Iran is aimed at redrawing the agreements reached during the 44-day war in favour of Armenia, which will benefit both the Americans and Tehran.

The IRGC, recognised as terrorist, is deploying troops at the border of Azerbaijan, while the White House and the State Department are silent. It doesn't happen that way...

Moreover, this alliance is aimed at disrupting the strategic partnership between Azerbaijan and Turkey. According to the Lebanese Shiite scholar Sheikh Subhi al-Tufayli, Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif directly told him that Tehran had set itself the task of 'severing Turkey's ties with the rest of the Turkic states,' and therefore it would actively support Armenians, 'for an insurmountable barrier to remain between Turkey and the Caspian.' And the propaganda campaign launched in Tehran has chosen Turkey and the Turkish leader as the main target of world Zionism in Azerbaijan. When asked from Azerbaijan 'where is Israel? Where are the Zionists?' Iranian propagandists have recently increasingly begun to point to Turkey and Erdogan. It is quite logical, considering the deepest confrontation between Turkey and Israel, especially in the Palestinian issue.

In these conditions, neither the Americans nor the Iranians need the Zangezur or any other transport corridor, moreover, it is extremely undesirable, and they will resist its appearance to the last. As well as the platform of six, and other Azerbaijani-Turkish initiatives aimed at reformatting the South Caucasus and creating a 'region of mutually beneficial cooperation' here.

The desire to hide its tacit agreements with the United States makes Tehran quite awkward in its propaganda. Declaring that it will not accept 'geopolitical changes' in the South Caucasus, Iran immediately runs into a counter question: 'Why did you not object to the geopolitical changes caused by Armenia from the early 1990s to the end of last year?'

Erdogan from the rostrum of the UN General Assembly talks about the tragedy of Palestine

And when it starts shouting about the Israeli penetration into Azerbaijan, they reasonably object to him: 'Forgive me, you chose the Armenian side in the conflict in the South Caucasus in 1992, and Azerbaijan began to develop strategic relations with Israel only in 1998.'

But the most piquant thing here is that every time Iran enters into secret alliances with the United States, Iran is a loser. Tehran helped the Americans against the Taliban in the early 2000s, and as a token of 'gratitude' was enlisted by President George W. Bush in the 'axis of evil.' And this is far from the only case. The Iranians helped the United States to preserve a united Iraq and, with the power of arms, Soleimani suppressed the idea of ​​an independent Kurdistan. A few years later, Soleimani himself was liquidated with a targeted strike in Iraq.

So it will be this time too. Washington will exploit and deceive Tehran in the South Caucasus. And the saying 'unlucky as an Iranian diplomat' will become commonplace.

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